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Register a new userCluster-Based Regularized Sliced Inverse Regression for Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables
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Added by
Yue Yu
Publication date
2011
fields
Mathematical Statistics
and research's language is
English
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This article concerns the dimension reduction in regression for large data set. We introduce a new method based on the sliced inverse regression approach, called cluster-based regularized sliced inverse regression. Our method not only keeps the merit of considering both response and predictors information, but also enhances the capability of handling highly correlated variables. It is justified under certain linearity conditions. An empirical application on a macroeconomic data set shows that our method has outperformed the dynamic factor model and other shrinkage methods.
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Sliced inverse regression is one of the most popular sufficient dimension reduction methods. Originally, it was designed for independent and identically distributed data and recently extend to the case of serially and spatially dependent data. In this work we extend it to the case of spatially dependent data where the response might depend also on neighbouring covariates when the observations are taken on a grid-like structure as it is often the case in econometric spatial regression applications. We suggest guidelines on how to decide upon the dimension of the subspace of interest and also which spatial lag might be of interest when modeling the response. These guidelines are supported by a conducted simulation study.
Due to the demand for tackling the problem of streaming data with high dimensional covariates, we propose an online sparse sliced inverse regression (OSSIR) method for online sufficient dimension reduction. The existing online sufficient dimension reduction methods focus on the case when the dimension $p$ is small. In this article, we show that our method can achieve better statistical accuracy and computation speed when the dimension $p$ is large. There are two important steps in our method, one is to extend the online principal component analysis to iteratively obtain the eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the kernel matrix, the other is to use the truncated gradient to achieve online $L_{1}$ regularization. We also analyze the convergence of the extended Candid covariance-free incremental PCA(CCIPCA) and our method. By comparing several existing methods in the simulations and real data applications, we demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of our method.
We propose a new method for dimension reduction in regression using the first two inverse moments. We develop corresponding weighted chi-squared tests for the dimension of the regression. The proposed method considers linear combinations of Sliced Inverse Regression (SIR) and the method using a new candidate matrix which is designed to recover the entire inverse second moment subspace. The optimal combination may be selected based on the p-values derived from the dimension tests. Theoretically, the proposed method, as well as Sliced Average Variance Estimate (SAVE), are more capable of recovering the complete central dimension reduction subspace than SIR and Principle Hessian Directions (pHd). Therefore it can substitute for SIR, pHd, SAVE, or any linear combination of them at a theoretical level. Simulation study indicates that the proposed method may have consistently greater power than SIR, pHd, and SAVE.
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