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Register a new userA Comparative Study of Confined and Eruptive Flares in NOAA AR 10720
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We investigate the distinct properties of two types of flares: eruptive flares associated with CMEs and confined flares without CMEs. Our sample of study includes nine M and X-class flares, all from the same active region (AR), six of which are confined and three others are eruptive. The confined flares tend to be more impulsive in the soft X-ray time profiles and show more slender shapes in the EIT 195 A images, while the eruptive ones are of long-duration events and show much more extended brightening regions. The location of the confined flares are closer to the center of the AR, while the eruptive flares are at the outskirts. This difference is quantified by the displacement parameter, the distance between the AR center and the flare location: the average displacement of the six confined flares is 16 Mm, while that of eruptive ones is as large as 39 Mm. Further, through nonlinear force-free field extrapolation, we find that the decay index of the transverse magnetic field in the low corona (~10 Mm) have a larger value for eruptive flares than that for confined one. In addition, the strength of the transverse magnetic field over the eruptive flare sites is weaker than that over the confined ones. These results demonstrate that the strength and the decay index of background magnetic field may determine whether or not a flare be eruptive or confined. The implication of these results on CME models is discussed in the context of torus instability of flux rope.
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We analyze sunspots rotation and magnetic transients in NOAA AR 11429 during two X-class (X5.4 and X1.3) flares using the data from the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager on board the emph{Solar Dynamics Observatory}. A large leading sunspot with positive magnetic polarity rotated counterclockwise. As expected, the rotation was significantly affected by the two flares. The magnetic transients induced by the flares were clearly evident in the sunspots with negative polarity. They were moving across the sunspots with speed of order $3-7 rm km s^{-1}$. Furthermore, the trend of magnetic flux evolution of these sunspots exhibited changes associated with the flares. These results may shed light on the understanding of the evolution of sunspots.
Magnetic flux ropes (MFRs) are believed to be the core structure in solar eruptions, nevertheless, their formation remains intensely debated. Here we report a rapid buildup process of an MFR-system during a confined X2.2 class flare occurred on 2017 September 6 in NOAA AR 12673, three hours after which the structure erupted to a major coronal mass ejection (CME) accompanied by an X9.3 class flare. For the X2.2 flare, we do not find EUV dimmings, separation of its flare ribbons, or clear CME signatures, suggesting a confined flare. For the X9.3 flare, large-scale dimmings, separation of its flare ribbons, and a CME show it to be eruptive. By performing a time sequence of nonlinear force-free fields (NLFFFs) extrapolations we find that: until the eruptive flare, an MFR-system was located in the AR. During the confined flare, the axial flux and the lower bound of the magnetic helicity for the MFR-system were dramatically enhanced by about 86% and 260%, respectively, although the mean twist number was almost unchanged. During the eruptive flare, the three parameters were all significantly reduced. The results evidence the buildup and release of the MFR-system during the confined and the eruptive flare, respectively. The former may be achieved by flare reconnection. We also calculate the pre-flare distributions of the decay index above the main polarity inversion line (PIL) and find no significant difference. It indicates that the buildup of the magnetic flux and helicity of the MFR-system may play a role in facilitating its final eruption.
We investigate the coronal magnetic energy and helicity budgets of ten solar ARs, around the times of large flares. In particular, we are interested in a possible relation of the derived quantities to the particular type of the flares that the AR produces, i.e., whether they are associated with a CME or they are confined. Using an optimization approach, we employ time series of 3D nonlinear force-free magnetic field models of ten ARs, covering a time span of several hours around the time of occurrence of large solar flares (GOES class M1.0 and larger). We subsequently compute the 3D magnetic vector potentials associated to the model 3D coronal magnetic field using a finite-volume method. This allows us to correspondingly compute the coronal magnetic energy and helicity budgets, as well as related (intensive) quantities such as the relative contribution of free magnetic energy, $E_{mathrm{F}}/{E}$ (energy ratio), the fraction of non-potential (current-carrying) helicity, $|H_{mathrm{J}}|/|{H_{V}}|$ (helicity ratio), and the normalized current-carrying helicity, $|H_{mathrm{J}}|/{phi^{prime}}^{2}$. The total energy and helicity budgets of flare-productive ARs (extensive parameters) cover a broad range of magnitudes, with no obvious relation to the eruptive potential of the individual ARs, i.e., whether or not a CME is produced in association with the flare. The intensive eruptivity proxies, $E_{mathrm{F}}/{E}$ and $|H_{mathrm{J}}|/|{H_{V}}|$, and $|H_{mathrm{J}}|/{phi^{prime}}^{2}$, however, seem to be distinctly different for ARs that produced CME-associated large flares compared to those which produced confined flares. For the majority of ARs in our sample, we are able to identify characteristic pre-flare magnitudes of the intensive quantities, clearly associated to subsequent CME-productivity.
We compare the coronal magnetic energy and helicity of two solar active regions (ARs), prolific in major eruptive (AR~11158) and confined (AR~12192) flaring, and analyze the potential of deduced proxies to forecast upcoming flares. Based on nonlinear force-free (NLFF) coronal magnetic field models with a high degree of solenoidality, and applying three different computational methods to investigate the coronal magnetic helicity, we are able to draw conclusions with a high level of confidence. Based on real observations of two solar ARs we checked trends regarding the potential eruptivity of the active-region corona, as suggested earlier in works that were based on numerical simulations, or solar observations. Our results support that the ratio of current-carrying to total helicity, $|H_mathrm{J}|/|H_mathrm{V}|$, shows a strong ability to indicate the eruptive potential of a solar AR. However, $|H_mathrm{J}|/|H_mathrm{V}|$ seems not to be indicative for the magnitude or type of an upcoming flare (confined or eruptive). Interpreted in context with earlier observational studies, our findings furthermore support that the total relative helicity normalized to the magnetic flux at the NLFF models lower boundary, $H_mathrm{V}/phi^2$, represents no indicator for the eruptivity.
We study the energy release process of a set of 51 flares (32 confined, 19 eruptive) ranging from GOES class B3 to X17. We use H$alpha$ filtergrams from Kanzelhohe Observatory together with SDO HMI and SOHO MDI magnetograms to derive magnetic reconnection fluxes and rates. The flare reconnection flux is strongly correlated with the peak of the GOES 1-8 AA soft X-ray flux (c=0.92, in log-log space), both for confined and eruptive flares. Confined flares of a certain GOES class exhibit smaller ribbon areas but larger magnetic flux densities in the flare ribbons (by a factor of 2). In the largest events, up to $approx$50% of the magnetic flux of the active region (AR) causing the flare is involved in the flare magnetic reconnection. These findings allow us to extrapolate toward the largest solar flares possible. A complex solar AR hosting a magnetic flux of $2cdot 10^{23}, mathrm{Mx}$, which is in line with the largest AR fluxes directly measured, is capable of producing an X80 flare, which corresponds to a bolometric energy of about $7 cdot 10^{32}$ ergs. Using a magnetic flux estimate of $6cdot 10^{23}, mathrm{Mx}$ for the largest solar AR observed, we find that flares of GOES class $approx$X500 could be produced ($E_{rm bol} approx 3 cdot 10^{33}$ ergs). These estimates suggest that the present days Sun is capable of producing flares and related space weather events that may be more than an order of magnitude stronger than have been observed to date.
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