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Register a new userAn algebraic analysis of the two state Markov model on tripod trees
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Methods of phylogenetic inference use more and more complex models to generate trees from data. However, even simple models and their implications are not fully understood. Here, we investigate the two-state Markov model on a tripod tree, inferring conditions under which a given set of observations gives rise to such a model. This type of investigation has been undertaken before by several scientists from different fields of research. In contrast to other work we fully analyse the model, presenting conditions under which one can infer a model from the observation or at least get support for the tree-shaped interdependence of the leaves considered. We also present all conditions under which the results can be extended from tripod trees to quartet trees, a step necessary to reconstruct at least a topology. Apart from finding conditions under which such an extension works we discuss example cases for which such an extension does not work.
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2-colored best match graphs (2-BMGs) form a subclass of sink-free bi-transitive graphs that appears in phylogenetic combinatorics. There, 2-BMGs describe evolutionarily most closely related genes between a pair of species. They are explained by a unique least resolved tree (LRT). Introducing the concept of support vertices we derive an $O(|V|+|E|log^2|V|)$-time algorithm to recognize 2-BMGs and to construct its LRT. The approach can be extended to also recognize binary-explainable 2-BMGs with the same complexity. An empirical comparison emphasizes the efficiency of the new algorithm.
We examine a mathematical question concerning the reconstruction accuracy of the Fitch algorithm for reconstructing the ancestral sequence of the most recent common ancestor given a phylogenetic tree and sequence data for all taxa under consideration. In particular, for the symmetric 4-state substitution model which is also known as Jukes-Cantor model, we answer affirmatively a conjecture of Li, Steel and Zhang which states that for any ultrametric phylogenetic tree and a symmetric model, the Fitch parsimony method using all terminal taxa is more accurate, or at least as accurate, for ancestral state reconstruction than using any particular terminal taxon or any particular pair of taxa. This conjecture had so far only been answered for two-state data by Fischer and Thatte. Here, we focus on answering the biologically more relevant case with four states, which corresponds to ancestral sequence reconstruction from DNA or RNA data.
We propose a mathematical model to analyze the time evolution of the total number of infected population with Covid-19 disease at a region in the ongoing pandemic. Using the available data of Covid-19 infected population on various countries we formulate a model which can successfully track the time evolution from early days to the saturation period in a given wave of this infectious disease. It involves a set of effective parameters which can be extracted from the available data. Using those parameters the future trajectories of the disease spread can also be projected. A set of differential equations is also proposed whose solutions are these time evolution trajectories. Using such a formalism we project the future time evolution trajectories of infection spread for a number of countries where the Covid-19 infection is still rapidly rising.
Measures of tree balance play an important role in the analysis of phylogenetic trees. One of the oldest and most popular indices in this regard is the Colless index for rooted bifurcating trees, introduced by Colless (1982). While many of its statistical properties under different probabilistic models for phylogenetic trees have already been established, little is known about its minimum value and the trees that achieve it. In this manuscript, we fill this gap in the literature. To begin with, we derive both recursive and closed expressions for the minimum Colless index of a tree with $n$ leaves. Surprisingly, these expressions show a connection between the minimum Colless index and the so-called Blancmange curve, a fractal curve. We then fully characterize the tree shapes that achieve this minimum value and we introduce both an algorithm to generate them and a recurrence to count them. After focusing on two extremal classes of trees with minimum Colless index (the maximally balanced trees and the greedy from the bottom trees), we conclude by showing that all trees with minimum Colless index also have minimum Sackin index, another popular balance index.
Maximum likelihood estimators are used extensively to estimate unknown parameters of stochastic trait evolution models on phylogenetic trees. Although the MLE has been proven to converge to the true value in the independent-sample case, we cannot appeal to this result because trait values of different species are correlated due to shared evolutionary history. In this paper, we consider a $2$-state symmetric model for a single binary trait and investigate the theoretical properties of the MLE for the transition rate in the large-tree limit. Here, the large-tree limit is a theoretical scenario where the number of taxa increases to infinity and we can observe the trait values for all species. Specifically, we prove that the MLE converges to the true value under some regularity conditions. These conditions ensure that the tree shape is not too irregular, and holds for many practical scenarios such as trees with bounded edges, trees generated from the Yule (pure birth) process, and trees generated from the coalescent point process. Our result also provides an upper bound for the distance between the MLE and the true value.
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