Galactic Cosmic Rays - Clouds Effect and Bifurcation Model of the Earth Global Climate. Part 1. Theory


Abstract in English

Based on theoretical and experimental consideration of the first (the Twomey effect) and second indirect aerosol effects the quasianalytic description of physical connection between the galactic cosmic rays intensity and the Earths cloud cover is obtained. It is shown that the basic equation of the Earths climate energy-balance model is described by the bifurcation equation (with respect to the temperature of the Earths surface) in the form of assembly-type catastrophe with the two governing parameters defining the variations of insolation and Earths magnetic field (or the galactic cosmic rays intensity in the atmosphere), respectively. The principle of hierarchical climatic models construction, which consists in the structural invariance of balance equations of these models evolving on different time scales, is described.

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