No Arabic abstract
The distribution of fitness effects of adaptive mutations remains poorly understood, both empirically and theoretically. We study this distribution using a version of Fishers geometrical model without pleiotropy, such that each mutation affects only a single trait. We are motivated by the notion of an organisms chemotype, the set of biochemical reaction constants that govern its molecular constituents. From physical considerations, we expect the chemotype to be of high dimension and to exhibit very little pleiotropy. Our model generically predicts striking cusps in the distribution of the fitness effects of arising and fixed mutations. It further predicts that a single element of the chemotype should comprise all mutations at the high-fitness ends of these distributions. Using extreme value theory, we show that the two cusps with the highest fitnesses are typically well-separated, even when the chemotype possesses thousands of elements; this suggests a means to observe these cusps experimentally. More broadly, our work demonstrates that new insights into evolution can arise from the chemotype perspective, a perspective between the genotype and the phenotype.
We investigate a continuous time, probability measure-valued dynamical system that describes the process of mutation-selection balance in a context where the population is infinite, there may be infinitely many loci, and there are weak assumptions on selective costs. Our model arises when we incorporate very general recombination mechanisms into a previous model of mutation and selection from Steinsaltz, Evans and Wachter (2005) and take the relative strength of mutation and selection to be sufficiently small. The resulting dynamical system is a flow of measures on the space of loci. Each such measure is the intensity measure of a Poisson random measure on the space of loci: the points of a realization of the random measure record the set of loci at which the genotype of a uniformly chosen individual differs from a reference wild type due to an accumulation of ancestral mutations. Our motivation for working in such a general setting is to provide a basis for understanding mutation-driven changes in age-specific demographic schedules that arise from the complex interaction of many genes, and hence to develop a framework for understanding the evolution of aging. We establish the existence and uniqueness of the dynamical system, provide conditions for the existence and stability of equilibrium states, and prove that our continuous-time dynamical system is the limit of a sequence of discrete-time infinite population mutation-selection-recombination models in the standard asymptotic regime where selection and mutation are weak relative to recombination and both scale at the same infinitesimal rate in the limit.
Pedigrees are directed acyclic graphs that represent ancestral relationships between individuals in a population. Based on a schematic recombination process, we describe two simple Markov models for sequences evolving on pedigrees - Model R (recombinations without mutations) and Model RM (recombinations with mutations). For these models, we ask an identifiability question: is it possible to construct a pedigree from the joint probability distribution of extant sequences? We present partial identifiability results for general pedigrees: we show that when the crossover probabilities are sufficiently small, certain spanning subgraph sequences can be counted from the joint distribution of extant sequences. We demonstrate how pedigrees that earlier seemed difficult to distinguish are distinguished by counting their spanning subgraph sequences.
Eigens quasi-species model describes viruses as ensembles of different mutants of a high fitness master genotype. Mutants are assumed to have lower fitness than the master type, yet they coexist with it forming the quasi-species. When the mutation rate is sufficiently high, the master type no longer survives and gets replaced by a wide range of mutant types, thus destroying the quasi-species. It is the so-called error catastrophe. But natural selection acts on phenotypes, not genotypes, and huge amounts of genotypes yield the same phenotype. An important consequence of this is the appearance of beneficial mutations which increase the fitness of mutants. A model has been recently proposed to describe quasi-species in the presence of beneficial mutations. This model lacks the error catastrophe of Eigens model and predicts a steady state in which the viral population grows exponentially. Extinction can only occur if the infectivity of the quasi-species is so low that this exponential is negative. In this work I investigate the transient of this model when infection is started from a small amount of low fitness virions. I prove that, beyond an initial regime where viral population decreases (and can go extinct), the growth of the population is super-exponential. Hence this population quickly becomes so huge that selection due to lack of host cells to be infected begins to act before the steady state is reached. This result suggests that viral infection may widespread before the virus has developed its optimal form.
New models for evolutionary processes of mutation accumulation allow hypotheses about the age-specificity of mutational effects to be translated into predictions of heterogeneous population hazard functions. We apply these models to questions in the biodemography of longevity, including proposed explanations of Gompertz hazards and mortality plateaus, and use them to explore the possibility of melding evolutionary and functional models of aging.
A question in evolutionary biology is why the number of males is approximately equal to that of females in many species, and Fishers theory of equal investment answers that it is the evolutionarily stable state. The Fisherian mechanism can be given a concrete form by a genetic model based on the following assumptions: (1) Males and females mate at random. (2) An allele acts on the father to determine the expected progeny sex ratio. (3) The offspring inherits the allele from either side of the parents with equal probability. The model is known to achieve the 1:1 sex ratio due to the invasion of mutant alleles with different progeny sex ratios. In this study, however, we argue that mutation plays a more subtle role in that fluctuations caused by mutation renormalize the sex ratio and thereby keep it away from 1:1 in general. This finding shows how the sex ratio is affected by mutation in a systematic way, whereby the effective mutation rate can be estimated from an observed sex ratio.