The Guesser is a task of visual grounding in GuessWhat?! like visual dialogue. It locates the target object in an image supposed by an Oracle oneself over a question-answer based dialogue between a Questioner and the Oracle. Most existing guessers make one and only one guess after receiving all question-answer pairs in a dialogue with the predefined number of rounds. This paper proposes a guessing state for the Guesser, and regards guess as a process with change of guessing state through a dialogue. A guessing state tracking based guess model is therefore proposed. The guessing state is defined as a distribution on objects in the image. With that in hand, two loss functions are defined as supervisions for model training. Early supervision brings supervision to Guesser at early rounds, and incremental supervision brings monotonicity to the guessing state. Experimental results on GuessWhat?! dataset show that our model significantly outperforms previous models, achieves new state-of-the-art, especially the success rate of guessing 83.3% is approaching the human-level accuracy of 84.4%.
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