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This note is concerned with an accurate and computationally efficient variational bayesian treatment of mixed-effects modelling. We focus on group studies, i.e. empirical studies that report multiple measurements acquired in multiple subjects. When approached from a bayesian perspective, such mixed-effects models typically rely upon a hierarchical generative model of the data, whereby both within- and between-subject effects contribute to the overall observed variance. The ensuing VB scheme can be used to assess statistical significance at the group level and/or to capture inter-individual differences. Alternatively, it can be seen as an adaptive regularization procedure, which iteratively learns the corresponding within-subject priors from estimates of the group distribution of effects of interest (cf. so-called empirical bayes approaches). We outline the mathematical derivation of the ensuing VB scheme, whose open-source implementation is available as part the VBA toolbox.
Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) is a principled framework for making efficient use of limited experimental resources. Unfortunately, its applicability is hampered by the difficulty of obtaining accurate estimates of the expected informati
We develop variational Laplace for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) which exploits a local approximation of the curvature of the likelihood to estimate the ELBO without the need for stochastic sampling of the neural-network weights. The Variational La
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Analyzing electronic health records (EHR) poses significant challenges because often few samples are available describing a patients health and, when available, their information content is highly diverse. The problem we consider is how to integrate