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تسجيل مستخدم جديدModeling epidemics on adaptively evolving networks: a data-mining perspective
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The exploration of epidemic dynamics on dynamically evolving (adaptive) networks poses nontrivial challenges to the modeler, such as the determination of a small number of informative statistics of the detailed network state (that is, a few good observables) that usefully summarize the overall (macroscopic, systems level) behavior. Trying to obtain reduced, small size, accurate models in terms of these few statistical observables - that is, coarse-graining the full network epidemic model to a small but useful macroscopic one - is even more daunting. Here we describe a data-based approach to solving the first challenge: the detection of a few informative collective observables of the detailed epidemic dynamics. This will be accomplished through Diffusion Maps, a recently developed data-mining technique. We illustrate the approach through simulations of a simple mathematical model of epidemics on a network: a model known to exhibit complex temporal dynamics. We will discuss potential extensions of the approach, as well as possible shortcomings.
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