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We consider univariate regression estimation from an individual (non-random) sequence $(x_1,y_1),(x_2,y_2), ... in real times real$, which is stable in the sense that for each interval $A subseteq real$, (i) the limiting relative frequency of $A$ under $x_1, x_2, ...$ is governed by an unknown probability distribution $mu$, and (ii) the limiting average of those $y_i$ with $x_i in A$ is governed by an unknown regression function $m(cdot)$. A computationally simple scheme for estimating $m(cdot)$ is exhibited, and is shown to be $L_2$ consistent for stable sequences ${(x_i,y_i)}$ such that ${y_i}$ is bounded and there is a known upper bound for the variation of $m(cdot)$ on intervals of the form $(-i,i]$, $i geq 1$. Complementing this positive result, it is shown that there is no consistent estimation scheme for the family of stable sequences whose regression functions have finite variation, even under the restriction that $x_i in [0,1]$ and $y_i$ is binary-valued.
This paper considers estimation of a univariate density from an individual numerical sequence. It is assumed that (i) the limiting relative frequencies of the numerical sequence are governed by an unknown density, and (ii) there is a known upper boun
Let ${(X_i,Y_i)}$ be a stationary ergodic time series with $(X,Y)$ values in the product space $R^dbigotimes R .$ This study offers what is believed to be the first strongly consistent (with respect to pointwise, least-squares, and uniform distance)
We describe estimators $chi_n(X_0,X_1,...,X_n)$, which when applied to an unknown stationary process taking values from a countable alphabet ${cal X}$, converge almost surely to $k$ in case the process is a $k$-th order Markov chain and to infinity otherwise.
Let ${X_n}_{n=0}^{infty}$ be a stationary real-valued time series with unknown distribution. Our goal is to estimate the conditional expectation of $X_{n+1}$ based on the observations $X_i$, $0le ile n$ in a strongly consistent way. Bailey and Ryabko
The forward estimation problem for stationary and ergodic time series ${X_n}_{n=0}^{infty}$ taking values from a finite alphabet ${cal X}$ is to estimate the probability that $X_{n+1}=x$ based on the observations $X_i$, $0le ile n$ without prior know