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Time-history deformation analyses of upstream-raised tailings dams use seismic records as input data. Such records must be representative of the in-situ seismicity in terms of a wide range of intensity measures (IMs) including peak ground acceleration (PGA), Arias intensity (AI), cumulative absolute velocity (CAV), source-to-site distance, duration, among others. No single IM is a sufficient descriptor of a given seismic demand (e.g. crest settlement) because different records, all of them compliant with any IM, can produce a very wide range of results from insignificant damage to global failure. The use of brute force, where hundreds of seismic records compliant with a set of IMs are employed, has proven to be a reasonable workaround of this limitation, at least able to produce a probabilistic density function of demand indicators. This procedure, however, requires a large number of runs, and is therefore expensive and time-consuming. Analyses can be optimized if an a priori simple tool is used to predict which seismic records would yield a given demand, thus obtaining estimations with much fewer runs. In order to perform a more precise selection, a semi-analytical screening procedure is presented in this paper. The procedure makes use of the spectral properties of the seismic record, considering only the intensity of the frequency content which is not filtered by the dam to obtain an a priori estimate of demand, expressed in this case in terms of displacements. The tool is validated using analytical and numerical models that prove insensitivity to the constitutive model used in the analysis, and is applied to a large tailings dam subjected to strong earthquakes.
We report an empirical determination of the probability density functions $P_{text{data}}(r)$ of the number $r$ of earthquakes in finite space-time windows for the California catalog. We find a stable power law tail $P_{text{data}}(r) sim 1/r^{1+mu}$
We report on a novel stochastic analysis of seismic time series for the Earths vertical velocity, by using methods originally developed for complex hierarchical systems, and in particular for turbulent flows. Analysis of the fluctuations of the detre
We report an empirical determination of the probability density functions P(r) of the number r of earthquakes in finite space-time windows for the California catalog, over fixed spatial boxes 5 x 5 km^2 and time intervals dt =1, 10, 100 and 1000 days
The interest of the mining industry on the assessment of tailings static liquefaction has exacerbated after recent failures of upstream-raised tailings storage facilities (TSF). Standard practices to evaluate global stability of TSFs entail the use o
Distributed models to forecast the spatial and temporal occurrence of rainfall-induced shallow landslides are based on deterministic laws. These models extend spatially the static stability models adopted in geotechnical engineering, and adopt an inf