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The design of methods for inference from time sequences has traditionally relied on statistical models that describe the relation between a latent desired sequence and the observed one. A broad family of model-based algorithms have been derived to carry out inference at controllable complexity using recursive computations over the factor graph representing the underlying distribution. An alternative model-agnostic approach utilizes machine learning (ML) methods. Here we propose a framework that combines model-based algorithms and data-driven ML tools for stationary time sequences. In the proposed approach, neural networks are developed to separately learn specific components of a factor graph describing the distribution of the time sequence, rather than the complete inference task. By exploiting stationary properties of this distribution, the resulting approach can be applied to sequences of varying temporal duration. Learned factor graph can be realized using compact neural networks that are trainable using small training sets, or alternatively, be used to improve upon existing deep inference systems. We present an inference algorithm based on learned stationary factor graphs, which learns to implement the sum-product scheme from labeled data, and can be applied to sequences of different lengths. Our experimental results demonstrate the ability of the proposed learned factor graphs to learn to carry out accurate inference from small training sets for sleep stage detection using the Sleep-EDF dataset, as well as for symbol detection in digital communications with unknown channels.
The setting is a stationary, ergodic time series. The challenge is to construct a sequence of functions, each based on only finite segments of the past, which together provide a strongly consistent estimator for the conditional probability of the nex
Let ${(X_i,Y_i)}$ be a stationary ergodic time series with $(X,Y)$ values in the product space $R^dbigotimes R .$ This study offers what is believed to be the first strongly consistent (with respect to pointwise, least-squares, and uniform distance)
The forecasting problem for a stationary and ergodic binary time series ${X_n}_{n=0}^{infty}$ is to estimate the probability that $X_{n+1}=1$ based on the observations $X_i$, $0le ile n$ without prior knowledge of the distribution of the process ${X_
Todays intelligent applications can achieve high performance accuracy using machine learning (ML) techniques, such as deep neural networks (DNNs). Traditionally, in a remote DNN inference problem, an edge device transmits raw data to a remote node th
Let ${X_n}_{n=0}^{infty}$ be a stationary real-valued time series with unknown distribution. Our goal is to estimate the conditional expectation of $X_{n+1}$ based on the observations $X_i$, $0le ile n$ in a strongly consistent way. Bailey and Ryabko