Ground state counting plays an important role in several applications in science and engineering, from estimating residual entropy in physical systems, to bounding engineering reliability and solving combinatorial counting problems. While quantum algorithms such as adiabatic quantum optimization (AQO) and quantum approximate optimization (QAOA) can minimize Hamiltonians, they are inadequate for counting ground states. We modify AQO and QAOA to count the ground states of arbitrary classical spin Hamiltonians, including counting ground states with arbitrary nonnegative weights attached to them. As a concrete example, we show how our method can be used to count the weighted fraction of edge covers on graphs, with user-specified confidence on the relative error of the weighted count, in the asymptotic limit of large graphs. We find the asymptotic computational time complexity of our algorithms, via analytical predictions for AQO and numerical calculations for QAOA, and compare with the classical optimal Monte Carlo algorithm (OMCS), as well as a modified Grovers algorithm. We show that for large problem instances with small weights on the ground states, AQO does not have a quantum speedup over OMCS for a fixed error and confidence, but QAOA has a sub-quadratic speedup on a broad class of numerically simulated problems. Our work is an important step in approaching general ground-state counting problems beyond those that can be solved with Grovers algorithm. It offers algorithms that can employ noisy intermediate-scale quantum devices for solving ground state counting problems on small instances, which can help in identifying more problem classes with quantum speedups.
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