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The discovery of clear criteria that can deterministically describe the eruptive state of a solar active region would lead to major improvements on space weather predictions. Using series of numerical simulations of the emergence of a magnetic flux rope in a magnetized coronal, leading either to eruptions or to stable configurations, we test several global scalar quantities for the ability to discriminate between the eruptive and the non-eruptive simulations. From the magnetic field generated by the three-dimensional magnetohydrodynamical simulations, we compute and analyse the evolution of the magnetic flux, of the magnetic energy and its decomposition into potential and free energies, and of the relative magnetic helicity and its decomposition. Unlike the magnetic flux and magnetic energies, magnetic helicities are able to markedly distinguish the eruptive from the non-eruptive simulations. We find that the ratio of the magnetic helicity of the current-carrying magnetic field to the total relative helicity presents the highest values for the eruptive simulations, in the pre-eruptive phase only. We observe that the eruptive simulations do not possess the highest value of total magnetic helicity. In the framework of our numerical study, the magnetic energies and the total relative helicity do not correspond to good eruptivity proxies. Our study highlights that the ratio of magnetic helicities diagnoses very clearly the eruptive potential of our parametric simulations. Our study shows that magnetic-helicity-based quantities may be very efficient for the prediction of solar eruptions.
Context. In September 2017 the largest X-class flare of Solar Cycle 24 occurred from the most active region (AR) of this cycle, AR 12673. The AR attracted much interest because of its unique morphological and evolution characteristics. Among the para
We demonstrate that the current helicity observed in solar active regions traces the magnetic helicity of the large-scale dynamo generated field. We use an advanced 2D mean-field dynamo model with dynamo saturation based on the evolution of the magne
Magnetic helicity is a quantity of great importance in solar studies because it is conserved in ideal magneto-hydrodynamics. While many methods to compute magnetic helicity in Cartesian finite volumes exist, in spherical coordinates, the natural coor
We compute for the first time magnetic helicity and energy spectra of the solar active region NOAA 11158 during 11-15 February 2011 at 20^o southern heliographic latitude using observational photospheric vector magnetograms. We adopt the isotropic re
We propose a novel approach to reconstruct the surface magnetic helicity density on the Sun or sun-like stars. The magnetic vector potential is determined via decomposition of vector magnetic field measurements into toroidal and poloidal components.