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Applying quantitative perturbation theory for linear operators, we prove non-asymptotic limit theorems for Markov chains whose transition kernel has a spectral gap in an arbitrary Banach algebra of functions X . The main results are concentration inequalities and Berry-Esseen bounds, obtained assuming neither reversibility nor `warm start hypothesis: the law of the first term of the chain can be arbitrary. The spectral gap hypothesis is basically a uniform X-ergodicity hypothesis, and when X consist in regular functions this is weaker than uniform ergodicity. We show on a few examples how the flexibility in the choice of function space can be used. The constants are completely explicit and reasonable enough to make the results usable in practice, notably in MCMC methods.v2: Introduction rewritten, Section 3 applying the main results to examples improved (uniformly ergodic chains and Bernoulli convolutions have been notably added) . Main results and their proofs are unchanged.
We consider plain vanilla European options written on an underlying asset that follows a continuous time semi-Markov multiplicative process. We derive a formula and a renewal type equation for the martingale option price. In the case in which intertr
Our purpose is to prove central limit theorem for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chain under the condition of uniform convergence of transition probability matrices for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chain in Ces`aro sense. Furthermore, we obtain a
We study the following learning problem with dependent data: Observing a trajectory of length $n$ from a stationary Markov chain with $k$ states, the goal is to predict the next state. For $3 leq k leq O(sqrt{n})$, using techniques from universal com
This paper investigates tail asymptotics of stationary distributions and quasi-stationary distributions of continuous-time Markov chains on a subset of the non-negative integers. A new identity for stationary measures is established. In particular, f
We consider a critical superprocess ${X;mathbf P_mu}$ with general spatial motion and spatially dependent stable branching mechanism with lowest stable index $gamma_0 > 1$. We first show that, under some conditions, $mathbf P_{mu}(|X_t| eq 0)$ conver