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A data-driven method for improving the correlation estimation in serial ensemble Kalman filters is introduced. The method finds a linear map that transforms, at each assimilation cycle, the poorly estimated sample correlation into an improved correlation. This map is obtained from an offline training procedure without any tuning as the solution of a linear regression problem that uses appropriate sample correlation statistics obtained from historical data assimilation products. In an idealized OSSE with the Lorenz-96 model and for a range of cases of linear and nonlinear observation models, the proposed scheme improves the filter estimates, especially when the ensemble size is small relative to the dimension of the state space.
Sequential data with serial correlation and an unknown, unstructured, and dynamic background is ubiquitous in neuroscience, psychology, and econometrics. Inferring serial correlation for such data is a fundamental challenge in statistics. We propose
A new type of ensemble Kalman filter is developed, which is based on replacing the sample covariance in the analysis step by its diagonal in a spectral basis. It is proved that this technique improves the aproximation of the covariance when the covar
Data assimilation is concerned with sequentially estimating a temporally-evolving state. This task, which arises in a wide range of scientific and engineering applications, is particularly challenging when the state is high-dimensional and the state-
Various methods have been proposed for the nonlinear filtering problem, including the extended Kalman filter (EKF), iterated extended Kalman filter (IEKF), unscented Kalman filter (UKF) and iterated unscented Kalman filter (IUKF). In this paper two n
Ensemble filters implement sequential Bayesian estimation by representing the probability distribution by an ensemble mean and covariance. Unbiased square root ensemble filters use deterministic algorithms to produce an analysis (posterior) ensemble