ترغب بنشر مسار تعليمي؟ اضغط هنا

Tests of exponentiality based on Arnold-Villasenor characterization, and their efficiencies

114   0   0.0 ( 0 )
 نشر من قبل Yakov Nikitin
 تاريخ النشر 2014
  مجال البحث الاحصاء الرياضي
والبحث باللغة English




اسأل ChatGPT حول البحث

We propose two families of scale-free exponentiality tests based on the recent characterization of exponentiality by Arnold and Villasenor. The test statistics are based on suitable functionals of U-empirical distribution functions. The family of integral statistics can be reduced to V- or U-statistics with relatively simple non-degenerate kernels. They are asymptotically normal and have reasonably high local Bahadur efficiency under common alternatives. This efficiency is compared with simulated powers of new tests. On the other hand, the Kolmogorov type tests demonstrate very low local Bahadur efficiency and rather moderate power for common alternatives,and can hardly be recommended to practitioners. We also explore the conditions of local asymptotic optimality of new tests and describe for both families special most favorable alternatives for which the tests are fully efficient.



قيم البحث

اقرأ أيضاً

We generate all the Orthogonal Arrays (OAs) of a given size n and strength t as the union of a collection of OAs which belong to an inclusion-minimal set of OAs. We derive a formula for computing the (Generalized) Word Length Pattern of a union of OA s that makes use of their polynomial counting functions. In this way the best OAs according to the Generalized Minimum Aberration criterion can be found by simply exploring a relatively small set of counting functions. The classes of OAs with 5 binary factors, strength 2, and sizes 16 and 20 are fully described.
Over the last two decades, many exciting variable selection methods have been developed for finding a small group of covariates that are associated with the response from a large pool. Can the discoveries from these data mining approaches be spurious due to high dimensionality and limited sample size? Can our fundamental assumptions about the exogeneity of the covariates needed for such variable selection be validated with the data? To answer these questions, we need to derive the distributions of the maximum spurious correlations given a certain number of predictors, namely, the distribution of the correlation of a response variable $Y$ with the best $s$ linear combinations of $p$ covariates $mathbf{X}$, even when $mathbf{X}$ and $Y$ are independent. When the covariance matrix of $mathbf{X}$ possesses the restricted eigenvalue property, we derive such distributions for both a finite $s$ and a diverging $s$, using Gaussian approximation and empirical process techniques. However, such a distribution depends on the unknown covariance matrix of $mathbf{X}$. Hence, we use the multiplier bootstrap procedure to approximate the unknown distributions and establish the consistency of such a simple bootstrap approach. The results are further extended to the situation where the residuals are from regularized fits. Our approach is then used to construct the upper confidence limit for the maximum spurious correlation and to test the exogeneity of the covariates. The former provides a baseline for guarding against false discoveries and the latter tests whether our fundamental assumptions for high-dimensional model selection are statistically valid. Our techniques and results are illustrated with both numerical examples and real data analysis.
147 - Tinghui Yu 2015
The treatment effects of the same therapy observed from multiple clinical trials can often be very different. Yet the patient characteristics accounting for these differences may not be identifiable in real world practice. There needs to be an unbias ed way to combine the results from multiple trials and report the overall treatment effect for the general population during the development and validation of a new therapy. The non-linear structure of the maximum partial likelihood estimates for the (log) hazard ratio defined with a Cox proportional hazard model leads to challenges in the statistical analyses for combining such clinical trials. In this paper, we formulated the expected overall treatment effects using various modeling assumptions. Thus we are proposing efficient estimates and a version of Wald test for the combined hazard ratio using only aggregate data. Interpretation of the methods are provided in the framework of robust data analyses involving misspecified models.
Several novel statistical methods have been developed to estimate large integrated volatility matrices based on high-frequency financial data. To investigate their asymptotic behaviors, they require a sub-Gaussian or finite high-order moment assumpti on for observed log-returns, which cannot account for the heavy tail phenomenon of stock returns. Recently, a robust estimator was developed to handle heavy-tailed distributions with some bounded fourth-moment assumption. However, we often observe that log-returns have heavier tail distribution than the finite fourth-moment and that the degrees of heaviness of tails are heterogeneous over the asset and time period. In this paper, to deal with the heterogeneous heavy-tailed distributions, we develop an adaptive robust integrated volatility estimator that employs pre-averaging and truncation schemes based on jump-diffusion processes. We call this an adaptive robust pre-averaging realized volatility (ARP) estimator. We show that the ARP estimator has a sub-Weibull tail concentration with only finite 2$alpha$-th moments for any $alpha>1$. In addition, we establish matching upper and lower bounds to show that the ARP estimation procedure is optimal. To estimate large integrated volatility matrices using the approximate factor model, the ARP estimator is further regularized using the principal orthogonal complement thresholding (POET) method. The numerical study is conducted to check the finite sample performance of the ARP estimator.
The aim of online monitoring is to issue an alarm as soon as there is significant evidence in the collected observations to suggest that the underlying data generating mechanism has changed. This work is concerned with open-end, nonparametric procedu res that can be interpreted as statistical tests. The proposed monitoring schemes consist of computing the so-called retrospective CUSUM statistic (or minor variations thereof) after the arrival of each new observation. After proposing suitable threshold functions for the chosen detectors, the asymptotic validity of the procedures is investigated in the special case of monitoring for changes in the mean, both under the null hypothesis of stationarity and relevant alternatives. To carry out the sequential tests in practice, an approach based on an asymptotic regression model is used to estimate high quantiles of relevant limiting distributions. Monte Carlo experiments demonstrate the good finite-sample behavior of the proposed monitoring schemes and suggest that they are superior to existing competitors as long as changes do not occur at the very beginning of the monitoring. Extensions to statistics exhibiting an asymptotic mean-like behavior are briefly discussed. Finally, the application of the derived sequential change-point detection tests is succinctly illustrated on temperature anomaly data.
التعليقات
جاري جلب التعليقات جاري جلب التعليقات
سجل دخول لتتمكن من متابعة معايير البحث التي قمت باختيارها
mircosoft-partner

هل ترغب بارسال اشعارات عن اخر التحديثات في شمرا-اكاديميا