اشترك بالحزمة الذهبية واحصل على وصول غير محدود شمرا أكاديميا
تسجيل مستخدم جديدUnderstanding the complexity of the Levy-walk nature of human mobility with a multi-scale cost/benefit model
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Nicola Scafetta
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Probability distributions of human displacements has been fit with exponentially truncated Levy flights or fat tailed Pareto inverse power law probability distributions. Thus, people usually stay within a given location (for example, the city of residence), but with a non-vanishing frequency they visit nearby or far locations too. Herein, we show that an important empirical distribution of human displacements (range: from 1 to 1000 km) can be well fit by three consecutive Pareto distributions with simple integer exponents equal to 1, 2 and ($gtrapprox$) 3. These three exponents correspond to three displacement range zones of about 1 km $lesssim Delta r lesssim$ 10 km, 10 km $lesssim Delta r lesssim$ 300 km and 300 km $lesssim Delta r lesssim $ 1000 km, respectively. These three zones can be geographically and physically well determined as displacements within a city, visits to nearby cities that may occur within just one-day trips, and visit to far locations that may require multi-days trips. The incremental integer values of the three exponents can be easily explained with a three-scale mobility cost/benefit model for human displacements based on simple geometrical constrains. Essentially, people would divide the space into three major regions (close, medium and far distances) and would assume that the travel benefits are randomly/uniformly distributed mostly only within specific urban-like areas.
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