اشترك بالحزمة الذهبية واحصل على وصول غير محدود شمرا أكاديميا
تسجيل مستخدم جديدAnalysis of rolling group therapy data using conditionally autoregressive priors
131
0
0.0
(
0
)
اسأل ChatGPT حول البحث
ﻻ يوجد ملخص باللغة العربية
Group therapy is a central treatment modality for behavioral health disorders such as alcohol and other drug use (AOD) and depression. Group therapy is often delivered under a rolling (or open) admissions policy, where new clients are continuously enrolled into a group as space permits. Rolling admissions policies result in a complex correlation structure among client outcomes. Despite the ubiquity of rolling admissions in practice, little guidance on the analysis of such data is available. We discuss the limitations of previously proposed approaches in the context of a study that delivered group cognitive behavioral therapy for depression to clients in residential substance abuse treatment. We improve upon previous rolling group analytic approaches by fully modeling the interrelatedness of client depressive symptom scores using a hierarchical Bayesian model that assumes a conditionally autoregressive prior for session-level random effects. We demonstrate improved performance using our method for estimating the variance of model parameters and the enhanced ability to learn about the complex correlation structure among participants in rolling therapy groups. Our approach broadly applies to any group therapy setting where groups have changing client composition. It will lead to more efficient analyses of client-level data and improve the group therapy research communitys ability to understand how the dynamics of rolling groups lead to client outcomes.
قيم البحث
اقرأ أيضاً
In this paper, we propose a Bayesian MAP estimator for solving the deconvolution problems when the observations are corrupted by Poisson noise. Towards this goal, a proper data fidelity term (log-likelihood) is introduced to reflect the Poisson stati
stics of the noise. On the other hand, as a prior, the images to restore are assumed to be positive and sparsely represented in a dictionary of waveforms such as wavelets or curvelets. Both analysis and synthesis-type sparsity priors are considered. Piecing together the data fidelity and the prior terms, the deconvolution problem boils down to the minimization of non-smooth convex functionals (for each prior). We establish the well-posedness of each optimization problem, characterize the corresponding minimizers, and solve them by means of proximal splitting algorithms originating from the realm of non-smooth convex optimization theory. Experimental results are conducted to demonstrate the potential applicability of the proposed algorithms to astronomical imaging datasets.
This paper is devoted to adaptive long autoregressive spectral analysis when (i) very few data are available, (ii) information does exist beforehand concerning the spectral smoothness and time continuity of the analyzed signals. The contribution is f
ounded on two papers by Kitagawa and Gersch. The first one deals with spectral smoothness, in the regularization framework, while the second one is devoted to time continuity, in the Kalman formalism. The present paper proposes an original synthesis of the two contributions: a new regularized criterion is introduced that takes both information into account. The criterion is efficiently optimized by a Kalman smoother. One of the major features of the method is that it is entirely unsupervised: the problem of automatically adjusting the hyperparameters that balance data-based versus prior-based information is solved by maximum likelihood. The improvement is quantified in the field of meteorological radar.
Conditional autoregressive (CAR) models are commonly used to capture spatial correlation in areal unit data, and are typically specified as a prior distribution for a set of random effects, as part of a hierarchical Bayesian model. The spatial correl
ation structure induced by these models is determined by geographical adjacency, so that two areas have correlated random effects if they share a common border. However, this correlation structure is too simplistic for real data, which are instead likely to include sub-regions of strong correlation as well as locations at which the response exhibits a step-change. Therefore this paper proposes an extension to CAR priors, which can capture such localised spatial correlation. The proposed approach takes the form of an iterative algorithm, which sequentially updates the spatial correlation structure in the data as well as estimating the remaining model parameters. The efficacy of the approach is assessed by simulation, and its utility is illustrated in a disease mapping context, using data on respiratory disease risk in Greater Glasgow, Scotland.
Recently, to account for low-frequency market dynamics, several volatility models, employing high-frequency financial data, have been developed. However, in financial markets, we often observe that financial volatility processes depend on economic st
ates, so they have a state heterogeneous structure. In this paper, to study state heterogeneous market dynamics based on high-frequency data, we introduce a novel volatility model based on a continuous Ito diffusion process whose intraday instantaneous volatility process evolves depending on the exogenous state variable, as well as its integrated volatility. We call it the state heterogeneous GARCH-Ito (SG-Ito) model. We suggest a quasi-likelihood estimation procedure with the realized volatility proxy and establish its asymptotic behaviors. Moreover, to test the low-frequency state heterogeneity, we develop a Wald test-type hypothesis testing procedure. The results of empirical studies suggest the existence of leverage, investor attention, market illiquidity, stock market comovement, and post-holiday effect in S&P 500 index volatility.
Popular parametric and semiparametric hazards regression models for clustered survival data are inappropriate and inadequate when the unknown effects of different covariates and clustering are complex. This calls for a flexible modeling framework to
yield efficient survival prediction. Moreover, for some survival studies involving time to occurrence of some asymptomatic events, survival times are typically interval censored between consecutive clinical inspections. In this article, we propose a robust semiparametric model for clustered interval-censored survival data under a paradigm of Bayesian ensemble learning, called Soft Bayesian Additive Regression Trees or SBART (Linero and Yang, 2018), which combines multiple sparse (soft) decision trees to attain excellent predictive accuracy. We develop a novel semiparametric hazards regression model by modeling the hazard function as a product of a parametric baseline hazard function and a nonparametric component that uses SBART to incorporate clustering, unknown functional forms of the main effects, and interaction effects of various covariates. In addition to being applicable for left-censored, right-censored, and interval-censored survival data, our methodology is implemented using a data augmentation scheme which allows for existing Bayesian backfitting algorithms to be used. We illustrate the practical implementation and advantages of our method via simulation studies and an analysis of a prostate cancer surgery study where dependence on the experience and skill level of the physicians leads to clustering of survival times. We conclude by discussing our methods applicability in studies involving high dimensional data with complex underlying associations.
سجل دخول لتتمكن من نشر تعليقات
التعليقات
جاري جلب التعليقات
سجل دخول لتتمكن من متابعة معايير البحث التي قمت باختيارها
