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We consider a model of a population of fixed size N in which each individual gets replaced at rate one and each individual experiences a mutation at rate mu. We calculate the asymptotic distribution of the time that it takes before there is an individual in the population with m mutations. Several different behaviors are possible, depending on how mu changes with N. These results have applications to the problem of determining the waiting time for regulatory sequences to appear and to models of cancer development.
We consider a (sub) critical Galton-Watson process with neutral mutations (infinite alleles model), and decompose the entire population into clusters of individuals carrying the same allele. We specify the law of this allelic partition in terms of th
We consider the population genetics problem: how long does it take before some member of the population has $m$ specified mutations? The case $m=2$ is relevant to onset of cancer due to the inactivation of both copies of a tumor suppressor gene. Mode
It is known (see e.g. Weibull (1995)) that ESS is not robust against multiple mutations. In this article, we introduce robustness against multiple mutations and study some equivalent formulations and consequences.
We consider inference about the history of a sample of DNA sequences, conditional upon the haplotype counts and the number of segregating sites observed at the present time. After deriving some theoretical results in the coalescent setting, we implem
The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has been mutating since it was first sequenced in early January 2020. The genetic variants have developed into a few distinct clusters with different properties. Since the United States